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Showing 1 - 10 of 10 results for "Interest Rate Conundrum"

Chief economist update: The Fed should act now

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 29 MAR 2019
... Greenspan's rationale that the drop in US bond yields at the same time that fed funds rate were being raised - "interest rate conundrum" was likely due to the global savings glut. We now know what happened thereafter. Last night's US GDP growth ...

Chief economist update: A question of when?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 28 MAR 2019
... staunch the great recession of 2008. The year before, then Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan called it the "interest rate conundrum" - a state where the long end isn't responding to the Fed's rate hikes - and reasoned that it was due to the global ...

Chief economist update: Minutes of concerns

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 6 JUL 2018
... the start of the year. This is lower than the 73 bps gap that prompted then Fed Chairman to deliver his "interest rate conundrum" speech in testimony before the US Senate Committee on Banking on February 17, 2005. If I recall correctly, rising US short ...

Chief economist update: Fed flattens the yield curve

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 14 JUN 2018
... from 2.7% in 2003 before becoming inverted by 2006. At the time, Fed chief Alan Greenspan called it the "interest rate conundrum" - a state where the long end isn't responding to the Fed's rate hikes - and reasoned that it was due to the global ...

Crowding in

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 25 NOV 2014
... Maynard Keynes' 'Paradox of Thrift', David Ricardo's 'Ricardian Equivalence Theory', A Alan Greenspan's 'Interest Rate Conundrum' (which appears to be making a return performance in the US) and of course, the economic phenomenon known as "crowding out." ...

Buy the fear

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 5 AUG 2011
... always been preceded by an inverted yield curve. Here, also recall former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan's "interest rate conundrum" talks in the mid-2000's - when the yield curve inverted in 2006 and yet no one even dreamed a recession was coming. Now ...

Strong one, says yield curve

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 12 APR 2010
... "Those who don't learn from history..." In early 2005, former Fed chief Alan Greenspan talked about an "interest rate conundrum" in the works as he tried to explain why long-term yields are not following short-term rates higher. Explanations for the ...

Mickey money

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 16 NOV 2009
... and reliable indicator of economic activity - but with variable lags. Remember ex-Fed chief Greenspan's interest rate conundrum back in 2006? He couldn't figure out why the US economy continued to expand despite an inverted yield curve. Many explanations ...

Elusive 10K

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 27 OCT 2009
... 5.25 per cent by mid-2006. Remember former US Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan's head scratching 'interest rate conundrum'? It appeared that there was no stopping the Dow from running far, far away from the 10K line this time. The Dow headed up ...

The best forecaster

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 19 NOV 2008
... former US Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan - would also recall one of his musings, the long-term interest rate conundrum. In his testimony before the US Congress in February 2005, Greenspan declared that: 'In this environment, long-term interest ...
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