BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 17 OCT 2017   11:23AM
There is optimism that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's ruling Liberal Democratic Party will win the 22 October general elections and hence, the continuation of "Abenomics".
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Inflated attention on September US CPI inflation
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 16 OCT 2017
The Fed's favoured inflation measure is the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, not the CPI.
Job openings in America
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 13 OCT 2017
The latest JOLTS report might appear to be boring - nothing to write home to mother about - but it also confirms that the US labour market has reached (or nearly at) full-employment.
Confidence up but will consumers shop?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 12 OCT 2017
While the improvement in consumer optimism is encouraging, it's still early to conclude that this would eventually prompt an increase in household spending.
ECB exit: 2018 or 2021?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 11 OCT 2017
European Central Bank executive board member Sabine Lautenschlager renewed speculations over not only the "discussion" of the bank's exit strategy but the actual "timing" of the exit.
India's upside risks
BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 10 OCT 2017
The Indian central bank kept interest rates unchanged - repo rate at 6% and reverse repo rate at 5.75% - following its 4 October policy meeting.
No more slack?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 9 OCT 2017
The U-6 unemployment rate declined sharply from 8.6% in August to 8.3% in September, the lowest rate since pre-GFC. It was 8.3% in February 2007.
Time to start factoring in an RBA rate cut?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 6 OCT 2017
Perhaps the RBA should start thinking about bringing the official cash rate to another level of "emergency" before weakening household spending turns into a vicious cycle.
Profit margin squeeze
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 5 OCT 2017
This risk is becoming a vicious cycle whereby weak consumer spending prevents businesses from lifting selling prices, eroding their profit margins which, in turn, would prompt firms to cut back on other costs.
Interest rates on ice
BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 4 OCT 2017
Given its optimistic forecasts and the lag in the monetary transmission mechanis - around 12 to 18 months for Australia - the RBA should at least be tapping at the brakes a tad by now.
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