Chief economist update: Powell Power
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 29 NOV 2018
Merry Christmas! It would even be merrier if Trump and Xi's meeting in Argentina this weekend leads to ceasefire in the trade war.
Chief economist update: The art of the deal in action
BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 28 NOV 2018
The mounting evidence that China's economy is slowing could force China to kowtow to Donald Trump's demands.
Chief economist update: Is TLTRO III coming?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 27 NOV 2018
There are fresh speculations that the ECB could launch targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTROs) as soon as next month or early next year.
Chief economist update: Wall Street in drunken sailor's shadow
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 26 NOV 2018
This random walk in US equities has been likened to a "drunken sailor" wandering the streets.
Chief economist update: Where are the BOJ exit speculators now?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 23 NOV 2018
Japanese measures of inflation remain about where they were at the beginning of the year.
Chief economist update: Predictions allude to frozen RBA
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 22 NOV 2018
Given current forecasts, it'll be a brave RBA that will raise interest rates come 2020.
Chief economist update: Thanks for nothing
BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 21 NOV 2018
By raising interest rates (along with QE tapering), the Fed is siphoning liquidity from the rest of the world.
Chief economist update: Finding neutral
BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 20 NOV 2018
But where exactly is the neutral level of US interest rates?
Chief economist update: The money is one Fed rate hike next year
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 19 NOV 2018
The CME FedWatch Tool shows probability of the Fed funds rate at 2.75% by the Fed's last meeting in 2019 is the highest at 35.3% (up from 29.4% a month ago). Are financial markets now putting their money on just one more rate hike next year?
Chief economist update: Slowing in sync
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 16 NOV 2018
For better or poorer, economic uncertainties have now turned the synchronised global upswing of 2017 and early 2018 into a synchronised global slowing (including the US), based on Markit PMI surveys.
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