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Showing 11 - 20 of 159 results for "US recession"

Chief economist update: AUD depreciation no cure for coronavirus

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 2 APR 2020
... and the collapse of Long-term Capital Management (LTCM) in 1998; it fell from around US$0.65 to US$0.49 during the US recession in 2001 following the September 11 attacks of the same year; and, it dropped from US$0.91 to US$0.62 at the onset of the GFC ...

Chief economist update: The virus, the trade deal and the AUD

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 17 FEB 2020
... from US$0.80 to below US$60 during the Asian financial crisis; it fell from around US$0.65 to US$0.49 during the US recession in 2001 and following the September 11 attacks of the same year; and, it dropped from US$0.91 to US$0.62 at the onset of the ...

Chief economist update: Has the Fed conquered the yield curve?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 12 DEC 2019
... majority of market participants expect no change in US interest rates in 2020. The US has come a long way baby... from US recession worries to the prospect of a resumption of hikes in interest rates by 2021 (as per the December dot plot). This isn't ...

The AUD is key

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 18 NOV 2019
... from US$0.80 to below US$60 during the Asian financial crisis; it fell from around US$0.65 to US$0.49 during the US recession in 2001 and following the September 11 attacks of the same year; and, it dropped from US$0.91 to US$0.62 at the onset of the ...

Chief economist update: How low will Lowe go?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 15 NOV 2019
... from US$0.80 to below US$60 during the Asian financial crisis; it fell from around US$0.65 to US$0.49 during the US recession in 2001 and following the September 11 attacks of the same year; and, it dropped from US$0.91 to US$0.62 at the onset of the ...

Chief economist update: Santa Claus is coming to town

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 11 NOV 2019
... despite global economic concerns centred on the ill-effects of the trade war and underscored by fears of a looming US recession predicted by the inverted yield curve. The only explanation being that bad news is good news. The worse the global economic ...

Chief economist update: It's the money, stupid

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 29 OCT 2019
... steepening in the US yield curve, so much so that it's no longer inverted, and with it, the probability of a US recession (a year from now) had dropped from a 12-year high - that signalled the 2007-2009 recession - of 37.9% to 34.8%. The recent weakening ...

Chief economist update: US recession on the cards

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 3 OCT 2019
... market. As a result, the S&P/ASX 200 index rallied by 0.8% on that day... only to drop by 1.5% the following day, as US recession fears came back to the fore. This time, sparked by reports that the US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing ...

Chief economist update: US yield curve pictorial

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 28 AUG 2019
Worries over a US recession have waxed and waned over the past few months. Gentle readers would know that I subscribe to the yield curve that studies by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and New York prove to be the best predictor of a looming US ...

Chief economist update: Jerome is in the Hole

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 23 AUG 2019
... absence and Trump's demand for a 100 basis rate cut (plus QE) are likely to be filled... so are expectations of US recession. Powell could use his Jackson Hole speech to put the onus back on Trump and echo the Wall Street Journal's words: "Cut ...