Search ResultsShowing 1 - 10 of 100+ results for "US Treasuries"
Chief economist update: The greatest challenge of our time
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 30 MAY 2019
... Bond markets celebrate! News headlines have picked up on the fall and fall in the yield offered by 10-year US Treasuries. The yield closed at 2.24% overnight, down from 2.26% the day before - the lowest since September 2017. But the chart ...
Chief economist update: Glass half-full or US recession on the way?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 29 MAY 2019
... to April, down from 1.8% in 2017 and 2018. This is perhaps, what the overnight dive in the yield on 10-year US Treasuries reacted upon - down to 2.26%, the lowest yield since September 2017. You can blame Tariff Trump and his trade war with the ...
Chief economist update: Woe to the world
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 25 MAR 2019
... activity - up 28% and 22.9% from their respective 2019 lows. What gives? What gave that the yield on 10-year US Treasuries has fallen below the 1-year T-note. Yes, Virginia, the US yield curve has inverted and history shows that this is almost ...
Chief economist update: US economic growth is slowing and accelerating
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 1 MAR 2019
... 2016 quarter. Wall Street's reaction: equity markets dipped, the US dollar index advanced and the yield on US Treasuries rose. Such financial market configuration suggests that expectations could be turning from a steady Fed to an outside ...
Chief economist update: Wall Street has fallen, prepare to be greedy
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 11 OCT 2018
... 3.7% compared with the long-term average of 4.4%. Similarly, the higher yield investors could get from buying US Treasuries now outmatches the dividend yield (1.86%) they could get from the S&P 500. Sell? Dump stocks? Head for the hills? ...or ...
Chief economist update: Famous last words
BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 28 AUG 2018
... the FRBSF shows) but with the Fed on a rising path towards higher rates and investors flocking into long-term US Treasuries - for safety against Trump's protectionist policies, the developing emerging market crisis, and for whatever reasons - ...
Chief economist update: Fed funds at five point O
BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 10 JUL 2018
... a series of rate hikes from the Fed so much so that the fed funds rate was higher than the yield on 10-year US Treasuries (yield curve inversion) that was later on followed by the Great Recession. This is one of the reasons why Atlanta Fed ...
Chief economist update: Minutes of concerns
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 6 JUL 2018
... and some EMEs." There's concern over the flattening yield curve. The yield differential between the 10Y US Treasuries and the 2Y bonds is now down to 28 basis points from 54 bps at the start of the year. This is lower than the 73 bps gap ...
Chief economist update: Fed flattens the yield curve
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 14 JUN 2018
... (one presages a recession), it's heading lower. The yield differential between the two-year and 10-year US Treasuries has dropped to 0.4% - its lowest level since 2007 (but was heading higher at the time). A more relevant example is in 2005 ...
Chief economist update: BOE fails market expectations
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 11 MAY 2018
... for an increase to 2.2%. Wall Street loved it. The S&P 500 index climbed by 0.9% and the yield on 10-year US Treasuries fell by four basis points to 2.97%. This isn't surprising. That's the Fed's guidance looking very likely to be kept. ...
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