Search ResultsShowing 1 - 10 of 100+ results for "GDP"
Chief economist update: Cloudy 2020 vision for OECD
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 22 NOV 2019
... forecast in May 2019) this year and 3.0% (down from 3.4%) in 2020. The Institution's latest report (November) has world GDP growth downgrade another notch to 2.9% by the end of the 2020, warning that: "Growth could be weaker still if downside risks ...
Chief economist update: The PBOC stimulates
BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 19 NOV 2019
... -- the first cut since 2016 - and at the same time injecting CNY400 billion (US$56.94 billion) in the system. With Chinese GDP growth straddling the lower bound of its 6%-6.5% target - it grew by 6% in the year to the September quarter - the PBOC has ...
The AUD is key
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 18 NOV 2019
... According to MARTIN's scenario analysis: "A sustained 5% depreciation of the exchange rate is expansionary for the economy. GDP growth is roughly half a percentage point higher than in the central forecasts over the forecast period." " The increase ...
Chief economist update: Lower iron ore a boon to the Aussie budget
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 14 NOV 2019
... sensitivity analysis that showed: "An increase of US$10 per tonne FOB in the iron ore price results in an increase in nominal GDP of around $6.3 billion in 2019-20 and over $13 billion in 2020-21. Similarly, a decrease of US$10 per tonne FOB in the iron ...
Chief economist update: The A$ will answer the question of how much more
BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 12 NOV 2019
... the general economy... ... and explains that: "A sustained 5% appreciation of the exchange rate would be expected to lower GDP growth by 1/2 percentage point on average relative to the central forecasts, keep the unemployment rate at around 51/4 per ...
Chief economist update: Brexit la la la
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 8 NOV 2019
... agreements are expected to remove some of the uncertainty facing businesses and households, and the MPC projects that UK GDP growth will pick up during 2020," BOE said. Then again, the BOE's is prepared for the worst and is ready to act if necessary ...
Chief economist update: Arrivederci Signor Draghi
BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 30 OCT 2019
... Jean-Claude Trichet as ECB chief on 1 November 2011, the single currency region's economy was heading into a recession. Annual GDP sequentially slowed from a high of 2.8% in the March quarter of 2011 into a 1.2% contraction two year later (March ...
Is the A$ becoming a safe-haven currency?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 28 OCT 2019
... otherwise? Latest business and consumer sentiment surveys are down and growth ... the IMF has recently slashed Australia's GDP growth forecasts by 0.5 percentage points to 1.7% this year and by 0.4 pps to 2.3% in 2020. That's way more than the 0.2 and ...
No room for policy mistakes
BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 22 OCT 2019
... economy, the cumulative effect of trade conflicts could mean a loss of around US$US700 billion by 2020, or about 0.8 per cent of GDP. As a reference, this is approximately the size of Switzerland's entire economy. "This widespread deceleration means ...
Leaving a legacy
KANIKA SOOD  |  FRIDAY, 18 OCT 2019
... recent years, we have narrowed the focus down even further. We have a view that Australia's 20-odd years of unbroken GDP growth has twinned with migrant growth and the skills they brought. We continue to underline education in the Indigenous community ...
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