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Showing 671 - 680 of 2259 results for "Predict"

Chief economist update: Time to pig out on China shares?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 4 MAR 2019
The "Year of the Pig" is turning out to be what it signifies - prosperity, good fortune and success. This is no truer than from the land the 12 animal signs of the lunar calendar zodiac originated - China. This is against consensus expectations that ...

Chief economist update: Wrong way, go down

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 28 FEB 2019
The A$/US$ exchange rate is, according to my Bloomberg screen, currently trading at US$0.7141, up 0.04% from the previous trading day and up 1.3% this year to date. In turn, Bloomberg's US dollar spot index has risen 0.14% overnight and is just ...

Chief economist update: The RBI surprises (again)

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 25 FEB 2019
The Reserve Bank of India is full of surprises. When financial markets expected it to raise interest rates, it didn't. When everyone expected interest rates to remain steady, it cut. Recall that back in October 2018, the RBI surprised markets by ...

Chief economist update: Cut it, cut it now

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 21 FEB 2019
What's the time Mr Wolf? It's time to go Philip! It's time for RBA governor Philip Lowe to go and cut interest rates. Perhaps impatience may have gotten the better of me for it's only been two weeks since the Australian central bank ...

Chief economist update: Is the US about to join the global slowdown club?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 15 FEB 2019
US consumers aren't shopping till they drop. They dropped spending. The US Census Bureau's latest update on retail spending - which constitutes the bulk of household spending that, in turn, accounts for about 70% of the US economy - showed that ...

Treasury initiates review post RC

KANIKA SOOD  |  FRIDAY, 8 FEB 2019
Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has announced an immediate review into how financial counselling services are funded and co-ordinated. Financial counselling services are provided by the Department of Social Services with a commitment that totals $64 ...

Chief economist update: Euro contagion redux?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 8 FEB 2019
"Growth rates for many of the euro area economies have been marked up, especially for Germany, Italy, and the Netherlands, reflecting the stronger momentum in domestic demand and higher external demand. Growth in Spain, which has been well above potential ...

Chief economist update: Time for an RBA shift to neutral

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 4 FEB 2019
"Our tightenings or loosenings of monetary policy are determined by the inflation outlook. If the economy wants to grow faster than it currently is, and inflation is not showing any tendency to rise to the point where it could threaten our medium-term ...

Chief economist update: The Fed pause that refreshes

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 31 JAN 2019
Three became two, two became one (maybe) or none (more likely). That's the genealogy of the number of interest rate hikes expected of the US Federal Reserve this year - a quick downshift from two 25 basis point increases in the fed funds rate the ...

Chief economist update: Bring on Aussie dollar depreciation

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 24 JAN 2019
"Capital Economics sees the local currency falling to US60c this year and hovering there through 2020; it previously forecast it at US65c for 2019 and US70c for 2020." (Australian Financial Review) That's a whopping 15%-16% drop from A$/US$ exchange ...