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Showing 31 - 40 of 127 results for "Real GDP growth"

Super Mario returns fire

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 4 SEP 2015
... because latest available growth and inflation data show that the ECB is not starting from a position of strength. Real GDP growth slowed to 0.3% in the June quarter - when QE was in full swing and before the financial market ructions -- from 0.4% in ...

Better than the big boys

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 10 JUN 2015
... comparison to the G-7 countries' economic growth performance in the first quarter of this year. While Australia's real GDP growth of 0.9% in the first quarter surpassed expectations, majority of blokes and sheilas saw the "half-empty glass" year-on-year ...

Lies, stats and damned double seasonal adjustments

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 19 MAY 2015
... 2010 - just did. The San Fran Fed solved "The Puzzle of Weak First-Quarter GDP Growth"! "The official estimate of real GDP growth for the first three months of 2015 was shockingly weak. However, such estimates in the past appear to have understated first-quarter ...

RBA cuts as expected, A$ does the unexpected

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 6 MAY 2015
... methinks even the Fed is uncertain on the precise timing of a lift-off. The lower-than-expected 0.2% annualised real GDP growth in the first quarter certainly argues against a sooner-rather-than-later lift off. More so because the US GDP report showed ...

Floating in money

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 13 APR 2015
... overly optimistic: The WEO forecasts overestimated output and underestimated inflation. The WEO forecasts for real GDP growth for Africa and inflation for the Western Hemisphere demonstrate this bias most clearly." I'm in no way poo-poohing the IMF for ...

Another cut's in the mail?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 24 MAR 2015
... to a low of 5,763.3 points six trading days later - as the lower than expected 2.5% Australian fourth quarter real GDP growth and concerns over the upcoming 17-18 March Fed FOMC meeting added negative impetus to the domestic equity market's dashed rate ...

'Brexit' betting booths now taking bets

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 23 MAR 2015
... economy, which was threatening to double dip just before Carney moved across the pond had steadily strengthened - real GDP growth accelerated from 1.7% in the June quarter of 2013 to 2.7% as at the December quarter of last year. The unemployment rate ...

It's raining jobs

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 9 FEB 2015
... measures up. It was all up for the US labour market in January despite the fourth quarter's slower than expected 2.6% real GDP growth and concerns over reduced investment - including hiring -- in the US energy sector due to the drop in oil prices and ...

Taylor rules the RBA just right

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 3 FEB 2015
... rate, r* is the "natural" real interest rate, pi is the rate of inflation, pi* is the target inflation rate, y is real GDP growth, and y* is the potential output growth. Substituting numbers for the letters: current cash rate is 2.5%; "natural" real ...

ECB came bearing no pre-Xmas cheer

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 5 DEC 2014
... necessary yet. Better yet, not necessary yet? Despite all the stimulative measures so far, the ECB staff now predicts real GDP growth of 0.8% in 2014, 1.0% in 2015 and 1.5% in 2016. "Compared with the September 2014 ECB staff macroeconomic projections ...