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Showing 21 - 30 of 103 results for "PCE"

Chief economist update: Fed plans for Trump contingency

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 20 JUN 2019
... output, or other economic conditions." Based on the Taylor Rule and using the Fed's 2019 forecasts for growth (2.1%), PCE price inflation (1.5%) and the neutral cash rate (2.5% - according to FOMC vice chairman John Williams), my calculations show ...

Chief economist update: The greatest challenge of our time

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 30 MAY 2019
... While US core US CPI inflation is at target (2.1% in the year to April), it's preferred inflation gauge - the headline PCE price index is way off-target (1.5% in March) and had been below 2% since November 2018. It's a royal rightful challenge ...

Chief economist update: Glass half-full or US recession on the way?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 29 MAY 2019
... All good on the growth stakes. What's not good is inflation. The Fed's favoured measure of inflation - the headline PCE price index - has eased to just 1.5% in the year to April, down from 1.8% in 2017 and 2018. This is perhaps, what the overnight ...

Chief economist update: Policy of patience

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 2 MAY 2019
... two-lows: low unemployment rate (3.8% in March which is a point above a 49-year low) and low inflation - headline and core PCE price index below target at 1.5% and 1.6% in the year to March, respectively. In his Q&A, chair Powell stressed the decision ...

Chief economist update: A good problem to have?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 30 APR 2019
... the March 2019 quarter, not to mention the unemployment rate that remains at near-49 year lows. There was also the headline PCE price index - the Fed's preferred measure of inflation - that increased by 1.5% in the year to March (an improvement from ...

Chief economist update: Two indicators giving the Fed a headache

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 9 APR 2019
... January 2012." Which inflation measure? The Fed's target is based on the annual change in the overall, or "headline," PCE price index. As Bullard wrote in a 2012 Regional Economist article: "The FOMC will target the headline inflation rate as opposed ...

Chief economist update: The Fed should act now

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 29 MAR 2019
... end of 2006 (even stronger the previous year), employment growth was strong and strengthening and so was inflation - core PCE price inflation reached a high of 2.6% in August 2006 - that seemingly gave credence to then Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan's ...

Chief economist update: Fed on ice

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 21 MAR 2019
... its 2019 growth forecast to 2.1% (from 2.3% predicted in December 2018) and 1.9% (from 2.0%) in 2020. It also lowered the PCE price inflation outlook to 1.8% (from 1.9%) this year and to 2% (from 2.1%) in 2020. The Fed revised higher its median forecasts ...

Chief economist update: US economic growth is slowing and accelerating

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 1 MAR 2019
... better than expected annualised growth rate and accelerating year-on-year GDP growth measure, inflation remains tame. The PCE price index remains below the Fed's 2% target - annualised, the headline PCE price index slowed to 1.5% from 1.6% and the ...

Chief economist update: The Fed has hit neutral

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 27 FEB 2019
... unemployment rate stood at 4% in January, a very low level by historical standards, and job openings remain abundant. "Core PCE inflation, which excludes food and energy prices and tends to be a better indicator of future inflation, is estimated at 1.9%" ...

Editor's Choice

Former chief financial officer at Rest returns in new role

VINNY VUCAGO
Rest is welcoming back its former chief financial officer as its inaugural chief commercial officer.

Macquarie chair provides 'cautious' outlook at AGM

ELIZA BAVIN
Macquarie Group has provided its first quarter update at its AGM, with outgoing chief executive Shemara Wikramanayake describing trading conditions as "satisfactory".

GDG delivers 36% jump in FUM

RIDDHIMA TALWANI
Generation Development Group has reported strong growth to the year ending June 30.

Aussie Olympian's brother sentenced over crypto scam

RIDDHIMA TALWANI
The brother of Australian breakdancing Olympian 'Raygun' has been sentenced 12 months' imprisonment for his role in a global cryptocurrency scam.

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