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Showing 1 - 4 of 4 results for "Sahm Rule"

Zenith increases defensive investment as recession risk looms

ELIZA BAVIN  |  WEDNESDAY, 21 AUG 2024
... be overblown just yet. "The US economy is slowing and we should expect weaker data going forward. While the so-called Sahm rule, which signals a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises more than 0.5 per cent from its 12-month low ...

What Yarra Capital is buying in the dip

ELIZA BAVIN  |  THURSDAY, 8 AUG 2024
... drawdown in equity markets in Q3 and a decent rally in bonds, this was expedited by the US labour market triggering the Sahm rule and a poor ISM report," Toohey said. "While it's hard to argue too much that the risk of recession in the US hasn't risen ...

Markets melt down over 'premature' recession fears

ELIZA BAVIN  |  TUESDAY, 6 AUG 2024
... were spooked by the unexpected jump in the US unemployment rate to 4.3% - a near three-year high. "That triggered the Sahm rule, which holds that a recession is likely underway if the three-month average of the unemployment rate rises by half a percentage ...

Why this fundie sees the economy making a hard landing

ANDREW MCKEAN  |  MONDAY, 25 MAR 2024
... risk," Birtles said. Internationally, an investor note from Ophir Asset Management casts a similarly grim outlook. The Sahm Rule, a recession indicator that signals that a recession begins when the three-month moving average of the unemployment rate ...
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