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Showing 51 - 60 of 421 results for "FOMC"

Chief economist update: Australia needs a cheaper A$

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 9 JUL 2019
... also eased growing expectations the Fed would cut interest rates by 50 bps from the current 2.25%-2.5% as early as its July FOMC meeting to just a 25bps reduction. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would have clicked "like" though. This is because ...

Chief economist update: BOE flips tightening bias to easing

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 8 JUL 2019
... puts the probability that the US central bank will cut interest rates by 25 bps to 2%-2.25% at the conclusion of its July FOMC meeting at 95.1%. This is backed-up by the Fed's semi-annual Monetary Policy Report noting: "Since the beginning of May ...

Chief economist update: Fed plans for Trump contingency

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 20 JUN 2019
The Fed's decision to maintain current policy settings at the conclusion of last night's FOMC meeting doesn't make for much except for self-congratulations and back-patting. What matters more is the forward guidance implicit in the FOMC ...

Chief economist update: Cash is King

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 19 JUN 2019
Maybe not at this month's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting but consensus expect the US Federal Reserve to serve Christmas in July with a 25 basis point reduction in the fed funds rate from 2.25%-2.5% to 2%-2.25%. The CME FedWatch Tool ...

Chief economist update: The greatest challenge of our time

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 30 MAY 2019
Inflation is dead! Bond markets celebrate! News headlines have picked up on the fall and fall in the yield offered by 10-year US Treasuries. The yield closed at 2.24% overnight, down from 2.26% the day before - the lowest since September 2017. But the ...

Chief economist update: Glass half-full or US recession on the way?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 29 MAY 2019
... easing) inflation. For all intents and purposes, the Fed's "policy of patience" - reinforced in the minutes of its May FOMC meeting - can be considered the correct approach. Everything comes to him who waits. The data-dependent Fed could afford to ...

Chief economist update: A tariff for a tariff

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 14 MAY 2019
... CME FedWatch Tool shows the probability that the fed funds rate would remain at 2.25%-2.50% at the Fed's December 2019 FOMC meeting has dropped to 26.1% from 45.8% a week ago (before the tariff flare-up). The odds for a 25 bps rate reduction increased ...

Chief economist update: Policy of patience

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 2 MAY 2019
The US Federal Reserve just concluded its April 30 - May 1 FOMC meeting and decided it best to do nothing but reaffirm its policy of patience, as you, I and Irene expected. "Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum ...

Chief economist update: A good problem to have?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 30 APR 2019
... year to March (an improvement from the 1.3% rate in February but nonetheless, still below its 2% inflation target). When the FOMC meets on April 30 - May 1, it'll surely be pondering over these indicators, scratching their heads before assessing ...

Chief economist update: The Fed pause that refreshes

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 24 APR 2019
... pause was sufficient to lift the animal spirits among equity investors. It reaffirmed this in the minutes of its 19-20 March FOMC meeting. "With regard to the outlook for monetary policy beyond this meeting, a majority of participants expected that the ...