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Showing 21 - 27 of 27 results for "CME FedWatch Tool"

And so this is Christmas, another year (almost) over

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 10 DEC 2018
... difference that the Fed will raise the fed funds rate by another 25 basis points to 2.5% come 19 December. The CME FedWatch Tool puts the probability of this happening at 69.8% - still strong odds but down from 72.3% before the release of the employment ...

Chief economist update: The money is one Fed rate hike next year

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 19 NOV 2018
... before Christmas, it's the changes in the probability of Fed rate hikes next year that has changed. The CME FedWatch Tool shows that the probability of the fed funds rate at 2.75% by the Fed's last meeting in 2019 the highest at 35.3% (up from ...

Chief economist update: Americans who want work will find it

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 5 NOV 2018
... expect the US Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting this week (7-8 November) to be a ho-hum event. In fact, the CME FedWatch Tool puts the probability of the Fed keeping the fed funds rate at 2-2.25% at 92.8% - almost a sure "no change" thing. However ...

Chief economist update: Fed will go hiking in June

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 24 MAY 2018
... expectations for the year ahead held close to the 35-month peak seen in April." But what puzzles the mind is why the CME FedWatch Tool - the one which tracks the probability of fed rate hikes based on fed fund futures contract prices (or where investors ...

Chief economist update: Plotting the dots

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 19 MAR 2018
... as gold that it will announce another gentle 25 basis points hike, taking the fed funds rate to 1.5%-1.75% - CME FedWatch Tool has the probability of a rate hike at 94.4% - when the US central bank concludes its two-day FOMC meeting on 21 March. But ...

C is the key

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 22 NOV 2017
... Federal Reserve proclaims to the world that the fed funds rate is 25 basis points higher to 1.5%. Gauging from the CME FedWatch Tool, this is 91.5% certain. I don't think anybody can quibble with this. But one striking point in the CME Group's website ...

Inflated attention on September US CPI inflation

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 16 OCT 2017
... Projections, my colleagues and I project inflation to move higher next year and to reach 2% by 2019." Yet, the CME FedWatch Tool showed the probability of the Fed raising interest rates this coming December slipping to 81.7% from 82.7% before the CPI ...
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