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Economics

Australian firms may face 'intense competition': RBA

ELIZA BAVIN  |  MONDAY, 26 MAY 2025
The Reserve Bank deputy governor said Australian firms may face more intense competition from China because of recent US policies.

J.P. MAM slashes recession probability to 30%

KARREN VERGARA  |  TUESDAY, 20 MAY 2025
J.P. Morgan Asset Management has slashed the probability of a recession eventuating in 2025 in half to 30% amid relief from the latest tariff announcements, but it warns risks remain elevated.

Productivity Commission identifies priority reform areas

ELIZA BAVIN  |  MONDAY, 19 MAY 2025
The Productivity Commission has identified 15 priority reforms areas to boost productivity and is seeking input to inform the draft recommendations in its interim reports.

Tariffs were never the answer: Experts

JAMIE WILLIAMSON  |  MONDAY, 19 MAY 2025
The tariffs doled out by the Trump administration are unlikely to help the US realise its economic priorities, an industry conference has heard.

RBA cut expected, but then what?

ELIZA BAVIN  |  FRIDAY, 16 MAY 2025
The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to cut interest rates next week, but what happens after that is still up for debate.

US, China trade truce 'welcome' news for Australia: Chalmers

ELIZA BAVIN  |  TUESDAY, 13 MAY 2025
Treasurer Jim Chalmers said while the 90-day trade war truce between the US and China is "encouraging", he wants to see tensions de-escalate "permanently, not temporarily".

'Lunatic' tariffs can directly hit Australia: Academics

KARREN VERGARA  |  MONDAY, 12 MAY 2025
Australia can get hurt by US President Donald Trump's 'incoherent' and 'lunatic' tariff policies that appear to have no logic or endgame if China's economy experiences a drastic slowdown, academics say.

Fed holds rates, but RBA still poised for a cut

ELIZA BAVIN  |  THURSDAY, 8 MAY 2025
The US Federal Reserve has taken a "patient" stance on interest rates as it waits to see the full effect of Trump's tariffs.

Global economic uncertainty the main priority: Chalmers

ELIZA BAVIN  |  MONDAY, 5 MAY 2025
After the Labor Party's overwhelming federal election win over the weekend, Treasurer Jim Chalmers said dealing with the uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's tariffs is the government's "immediate focus".

No US recession priced in yet: UniSuper

ELIZA BAVIN  |  FRIDAY, 2 MAY 2025
Despite rising uncertainty and market volatility, the market isn't actually priced for a recession just yet, says UniSuper head of fixed interest David Colosimo.