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Showing 441 - 450 of 1438 results for "Recession"

Chief economist update: Time for an RBA shift to neutral

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 4 FEB 2019
... full impact of the Asian financial crisis and the collapse of LTCM (Long-Term Capital Management) in 1997 and the US recession in 2001. However, a shift in the RBA's stance from "the next move in interest rates is likely to be up" to "neutral" could ...

Chief economist update: La vita is no longer e bella

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 1 FEB 2019
... be in the mood for "amore", not when their economy - the third biggest in the Eurozone - is officially in a technical recession. La vita is no longer e bella! Italian GDP contracted by 0.2% in the December 2018 after shrinking by 0.1% in the previous ...

Chief economist update: Bring on Aussie dollar depreciation

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 24 JAN 2019
... collapse in 1998) when it dropped from more than US$0.80 to below US$0.60. It deflected the fallout from the 2001 US recession and September 11 terrorists' attacks by depreciating from US$0.65 to below US$0.50. It cushioned the Australian economy ...

Chief economist update: Fed fail

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 20 DEC 2018
... "International developments." China and the Eurozone are slowing, Japan and Germany are a quarter away from a technical recession, Italian budget deficit concerns, Brexit concerns, and the shrinking of global trade (because of tariff Trump), among others. ...

Bonds reward equity investors seeking refuge

KARREN VERGARA  |  MONDAY, 17 DEC 2018
... The US fixed income story The US yield curve paints a different story - its slope has inverted and sparked fears of a recession. This is when long-dated securities outperform short-term securities But why is an inverted yield curve widely-referenced ...

Chief economist update: ECB bids farewell to QE

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 14 DEC 2018
... slowdown in the region's three biggest economies persists - Germany and Italy are just a quarter away from a technical recession and France's year-on-year GDP growth have trended lower from 2.8% in the December 2017 quarter to 1.4% in the September ...

Chief economist update: Aussie property market drop becoming self-fulfilling

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 11 DEC 2018
... on-going move towards policy normalisation. Then "Tariff Trump" happened, China slowed, Japan lurched a quarter away from recession, Eurozone's economic activity lost momentum underscored by the contraction in German and Italian GDP in the third ...

Chief economist update: Tariff man takes Wall Street down

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 5 DEC 2018
... environment. "The first inversion of any portion of the Treasury yield curve in more than a decade awoke the specter of a recession," he said. Sure, they all add up. But if (and whenever) Wall Street does a rebound, opposing rationales will be in the ...

Chief economist update: Thanks for nothing

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 21 NOV 2018
... year? It's even narrower now at just 0.27%. Sure, the yield curve isn't yet inverted (which would presage a recession), but as the Fed continues to raise the fed funds rate, long bond yields would fall (amid expectations of receding inflation). ...

Chief investment officer retires

DARREN SNYDER  |  TUESDAY, 30 OCT 2018
... if Labor wins the next Federal election. He went as far to say a Labor government will result in the first economic recession in Australia for 27 years. "We have been fighting against Labor's policy to scrap the current dividend imputation system ...