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Showing 11 - 20 of 1411 results for "Recession"

Market turmoil hits portfolios

ELIZA BAVIN  |  FRIDAY, 4 APR 2025
... the hit to global growth. "All up, [the] announcement is close to a worst-case scenario and the odds of a US/global recession have clearly increased. Much will turn on whether [the] announcements represent the end of global trade uncertainty, or just ...

Investors brace as US unleashes tariffs

ELIZA BAVIN  |  THURSDAY, 3 APR 2025
... cent tariff, on top of the existing tariff. As a result, Zenith Investment Partners has upped its probability of a US recession. "Our own estimated probability of US recession has risen from 20% to an upwardly revised 35%, a level that cannot be ignored," ...

BlackRock rebalance sparks record-high ETF trades on ASX

KARREN VERGARA  |  THURSDAY, 20 MAR 2025
... given a "relatively weaker domestic earnings outlook and stretched valuations." Underpinning this are concerns of a US recession set in motion by President Donald Trump's aggressive trade tactics that soured the bullish sentiments immediately triggered ...

US equities face volatility as growth risks mount: Morgan Stanley

ANDREW MCKEAN  |  TUESDAY, 11 MAR 2025
... said. In its bear-case scenario, Morgan Stanley said that if economic growth weakens significantly and the likelihood of recession increases, the S&P 500 could fall to around 4600. Although such an outcome isn't the firm's base case, Morgan Stanley ...

War on inflation: Australia vs New Zealand

ELIZA BAVIN  |  WEDNESDAY, 5 MAR 2025
... rates 525 basis points in total, with Bloxham saying the central bank accepted that it would "tip the economy into a recession". "As it turns out, GDP fell in 2024, the unemployment rate rose by almost 2ppts, and this combination brought inflation back ...

Fiducian FUMAA swell to $14.4bn

KARREN VERGARA  |  MONDAY, 17 FEB 2025
... pre-empt the government's proposed $3 million cap to superannuation balances for tax concessions. "Although a global recession is not forecast, we continue to take a balanced approach for our diversified funds, and we remain only marginally above ...

Trump's tariff implications for Australian investors

ANDREW MCKEAN  |  WEDNESDAY, 5 FEB 2025
... realistic scenario, he said, would see a 0.3% to 0.4% reduction - material, but not enough to push Australia into a recession. That's in stark contrast to Canada and Mexico, where the US is their largest trading partner, meaning tariffs could have ...

Trump inaugurated as 47th President

ELIZA BAVIN  |  TUESDAY, 21 JAN 2025
... valuations," Hennessy said. "Looking back to September and the lows in bond yields, investors were predicting a high risk of recession in the US, and markets were betting on official interest rates falling to 2.8% by early 2026. That number has lifted ...

2025 economic outlook 'threatening': AMP

ELIZA BAVIN  |  THURSDAY, 5 DEC 2024
AMP chief economist Shane Oliver has shared his "worry list" for 2025, outlining the risk of recession, trade wars and geopolitical turmoil. Oliver said just as with 2024, the list of concerns for investors heading into 2025 is long, and "even more ...

US better positioned to deliver strong returns: UniSuper

ELIZA BAVIN  |  TUESDAY, 22 OCT 2024
... two lost decades." In terms of how Australia's economy is faring, Pearce said that while the nation has avoided a recession in aggregate, on a per capita basis Australia is actually going backwards. By contrast, the US economy is doing well with ...