Search ResultsShowing 1 - 10 of 100+ results for "US Treasuries"
Chief economist update: Has the Fed conquered the yield curve?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 12 DEC 2019
... pause for thought that ... Bill could be correct. For sure, the US yield curve - yield differential between 10-year US Treasuries and 3-month bills - has turned positive since October this year... ...and the probability of a US recession 12 months into ...
China still positive despite unrest
ELIZA BAVIN  |  TUESDAY, 3 DEC 2019
... this new reality" he says. "Global yields have come down much more than most people expected this year, led by US treasuries. It's been a duration rally which has effectively rekindled risk appetite globally, and of course emerging markets typically ...
Chief economist update: Future path of fed funds rate
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 19 SEP 2019
... equity markets closed mixed: Dow +0.13%, S&P 500 +0.03%, Nasdaq -0.11%, Russell 2000 -0.63%; the yield on 10-year US Treasuries was unchanged at 1.8%; and the Bloomberg US dollar spot index ticked up by a mere 0.2%. Yes Virginia, there's nothing ...
Chief economist update: US recession a sure thing
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 19 AUG 2019
... I'm wrong. US recession fears - resulting from the negative spread between the yield on 10-year and two-year US Treasuries - of the past week have eased (for now), sending Wall Street on a rebound on the last day of last week's trading. Wall ...
Chief economist update: Bonds do the limbo rock
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 9 AUG 2019
... (1.4% in the year to June). What is more is that US inflation expectations - the yield differential between 10-year US Treasuries and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) has fallen to their lowest level in three years to 1.59% from a high ...
Chief economist update: The greatest challenge of our time
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 30 MAY 2019
... dead! Bond markets celebrate! News headlines have picked up on the fall and fall in the yield offered by 10-year US Treasuries. The yield closed at 2.24% overnight, down from 2.26% the day before - the lowest since September 2017. But the chart below ...
Chief economist update: Glass half-full or US recession on the way?
BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 29 MAY 2019
... year to April, down from 1.8% in 2017 and 2018. This is perhaps, what the overnight dive in the yield on 10-year US Treasuries reacted upon - down to 2.26%, the lowest yield since September 2017. You can blame Tariff Trump and his trade war with the ...
Chief economist update: Woe to the world
BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 25 MAR 2019
... trading activity - up 28% and 22.9% from their respective 2019 lows. What gives? What gave that the yield on 10-year US Treasuries has fallen below the 1-year T-note. Yes, Virginia, the US yield curve has inverted and history shows that this is almost ...
Chief economist update: US economic growth is slowing and accelerating
BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 1 MAR 2019
... 2016 quarter. Wall Street's reaction: equity markets dipped, the US dollar index advanced and the yield on US Treasuries rose. Such financial market configuration suggests that expectations could be turning from a steady Fed to an outside chance ...
Chief economist update: Wall Street has fallen, prepare to be greedy
BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 11 OCT 2018
... to 3.7% compared with the long-term average of 4.4%. Similarly, the higher yield investors could get from buying US Treasuries now outmatches the dividend yield (1.86%) they could get from the S&P 500. Sell? Dump stocks? Head for the hills? ...or buy ...
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