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Showing 91 - 100 of 190 results for "Trade war"

Chief economist update: The path of monetary policy according to Lowe

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 5 JUN 2019
... expectations the US Federal Reserve would reduce borrowing costs twice by 25bps each this year, the ongoing/escalating trade war and its negative impact on already slowing global growth, and the rising likelihood of a US recession (as indicated by the ...

Chief economist update: US recession in the offing

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 3 JUN 2019
... Street's reaction is to be expected particularly given Trump's latest bombshell comes in the midst of its escalating trade war with China. According to Bloomberg, Beijing has readied plans to restrict rare earth exports to America with Reuters ...

Chief economist update: Glass half-full or US recession on the way?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 29 MAY 2019
... US Treasuries reacted upon - down to 2.26%, the lowest yield since September 2017. You can blame Tariff Trump and his trade war with the rest of the world. But the immediate implication of higher retaliatory tariffs would be to lift inflation in America ...

Chief economist update: It'll hurt me more than it hurts you

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 24 MAY 2019
If very, very recent history is any guide, US President Donald Trump would soon be tempering his trade war tweets versus China. Trump did so early this year - prompting financial markets and economic and business agents to expect that a trade deal is ...

Chief economist update: Like Britney Spears, Financial Standard's done it again

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 23 MAY 2019
... current consensus thinking that there'll be two this year... but that's premised on no further escalation of the trade war between Trump and the world. That being constant, Australia's economic dynamics are bound to improve and/or stop deteriorating. ...

Chief economist update: Fairy tales can come true

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 20 MAY 2019
... Liberium's bullish iron ore forecast is based on the shift towards a more dovish monetary policy and expectations that the trade war escalation between the US and China would prompt greater stimulative policy responses from Beijing. ScoMo will get ...

Chief economist update: Japan becomes collateral damage in US-China trade war

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 15 MAY 2019
In any war, there's bound to be those that are caught in the crossfire and others treated as collateral damage. The global stock market rout that developed as a result of the renewed "little squabble" (as Trump recently put it) between the US and ...

Chief economist update: A tariff for a tariff

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 14 MAY 2019
... reduce global gross domestic product by 0.5 percent by 2020... if the bilateral tensions spiral into a full-blown global trade war, we would expect this to trigger a global recession. The Fed's forward guidance of steady rates until the end of the ...

Chief economist update: The (trade) war is back on

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 13 MAY 2019
... imports from China worth around US$325 billion. As expected, China promised to take "necessary counter measures". The trade war is back on and could kill off the green shoots that have recently been sprouting in the Chinese economy. Both the National ...

Chief economist update: Countdown to T-day

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 10 MAY 2019
... economist Gregory Daco said in a research note Thursday, adding: "if the bilateral tensions spiral into a full-blown global trade war, we would expect this to trigger a global recession." And that's only with the Sino-Yankee trade war. Recall Trump ...