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Showing 51 - 60 of 200 results for "CPI inflation"

Fed steady with a slight chance of a rate cut

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 10 JAN 2019
... Fed's favoured inflation measure - the core PCE price index - stood at 1.9% in the year to November whereas the core CPI inflation stood at 2.2% over the same month. The positive correlation between these two measures and the lead from rising wages - ...

Chief economist update: Fed fail

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 20 DEC 2018
... direction - the core PCE price inflation has eased to an annual rate of 1.8% in October from 2% in July; the core CPI inflation rate has slowed to 2.2% after peaking at 2.3% in July this year. And inflation expectations? They've dropped - based on ...

Chief economist update: Does the Fed lift or cut interest rates just for the heck of it?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 13 DEC 2018
... compared with 16.1% in the year to October. Factoring energy (and food) out of the calculation (and food), core CPI inflation increased by 2.2% in the year to November that, based on Factset's time series data, is the fourth straight month that core ...

Chief economist update: BOE waiting on Brexit

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 2 NOV 2018
... inflation since the beginning of 2017, is projected to ease over the forecast period. Taking these influences together, CPI inflation is projected to remain above the target for most of the forecast period, before reaching 2% by the end of the third ...

Chief economist update: Fear and loathing on Wall Street

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 25 OCT 2018
... they're making a mistake and it's not right" given continued tame inflation and inflation expectations. Core CPI inflation was unchanged at 2.2% in the year to September, inflation expectations - based on the yield differential between 10-year ...

Chief economist update: Bull markets don't die of old age

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 18 OCT 2018
... Fed is leaning towards the upper range of the neutral rate estimate. The latest inflation data showing headline CPI inflation slowed to 2.3% in September from 2.7% in the previous month and core inflation steady at 2.2% suggest that the Fed is right ...

Chief economist update: An Indian surprise

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 8 OCT 2018
... 3.9-4.5 per cent in H2 and 4.8 per cent in Q1:2019-20, with risks somewhat to the upside. Excluding the HRA impact, CPI inflation is projected at 3.7 per cent in Q2:2018-19, 3.8 - 4.5 per cent in H2 and 4.8 per cent in Q1:2019-20." The RBI lowered its ...

Chief economist update: Turkey's roasted

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 13 AUG 2018
... liquidity window lending rate to 20.75% on the same day. Still, inflation continues to rampage higher. Headline CPI inflation accelerated to 15.9% in July from 10.4% at the start of the year, core inflation sped up to 15.1% from 12.2%. This is hardly ...

Chief economist update: Betting on down rather than up?

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 10 AUG 2018
... accelerating to 1.1% from 0.9% in the March quarter. The August Monetary Policy Statement forecasts the headline CPI inflation rate to ease to 1.4% in the September quarter of this year and won't reach the midpoint of its 1%-3% target before the ...

Chief economist update: Not before we get a pay rise

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 6 AUG 2018
... given the erosion of their real wages (this has dropped to zero - wages growth of 2.1% (March quarter) and headline CPI inflation of 2.1% (June quarter)). Not only this, latest ABS data show that growth in household disposable income halved to 0.7% in ...