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Showing 1 - 10 of 19 results for "NAIRU"

Economic recap: Week to August 27

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 30 AUG 2021
... appropriate monetary policy will likely aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2% for some time". Powell's also killed off NAIRU - the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (or "u-star") because of the "muted responsiveness of inflation ...

Chief economist update: Fed heads for the mountain

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 28 AUG 2020
... appropriate monetary policy will likely aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2% for some time". Powell's also killed off NAIRU - the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (or "u-star") because of the "muted responsiveness of inflation ...

Chief economist update: RBA not risking market disappointment

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 4 SEP 2019
... (unchanged at 2.3% in the year to the June 2019 quarter from March) and the unemployment rate still below the RBA's new NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) of 4.5% -- the unemployment rate's currently at 5.2% -- ensuring "inflation ...

Chief economist update: The back-to-back rate cuts Australia has to have

BENJAMIN ONG  |  WEDNESDAY, 3 JUL 2019
... RBA snip, snip, snips coming our way for Lowe has just recently shifted the goalpost. The Australian central bank now puts NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) at 4.5%, down from 5.0% estimated over recent years. With the unemployment ...

Chief economist update: Low unemployment, low wages growth conundrum

BENJAMIN ONG  |  THURSDAY, 16 MAY 2019
... happening. Indications from the negative correlation between wages growth and the unemployment rate gap - unemployment rate less NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) - shows annual wages should be growing at around 3%-3.5% at this ...

Chief economist update: Finding neutral

BENJAMIN ONG  |  TUESDAY, 20 NOV 2018
... Eight. One to screw it in and seven to hold everything else constant. Neutral interest rate of 3%, assuming potential GDP, NAIRU and productivity growth are constant. I can go on and on but my point is that no one really knows where the neutral level ...

Chief economist update: Don't mind the gap

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 17 AUG 2018
... six years (November 2012) and more importantly, the 5.3% number matches exactly the OECD's estimate of Australia's NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment). Yes, Virginia, the unemployment rate gap has closed and very soon you ...

Chief economist update: Forget asking for a pay rise

BENJAMIN ONG  |  FRIDAY, 18 MAY 2018
... because based on the differential between the current unemployment rate (5.6%) and the OECD estimates of Australia's NAIRU - non-accelerating rate of unemployment (5.9%) - you and I could demand pay increases of around 4% per annum. But this negative ...

America is full

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 11 DEC 2017
... this, the unemployment rate remained at 4.1% -- the lowest jobless rate since December 2000 (3.9%) - which by any measure of NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) should have been exerting upward pressure on wages and by extension ...

Surefire Melbourne Cup bet

BENJAMIN ONG  |  MONDAY, 30 OCT 2017
... still remains a sizeable degree of spare capacity in the labour market". Well, of course, it depends on one's measure of NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment). Debelle says the current estimate of NAIRU is 5% with a 70% confidence interval ...
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